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Economy

Markets, macroeconomics, monetary and fiscal policy, labor, development, data, and economic research.

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Economy

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2026-08-14 06:45:33 +0000

2026-08-14

12 items
FRED Blog Aug 13 Score 0.720401675925926

What is the Texas ratio?

The name In the 1980s, Texas had a banking crisis whose causes included shocks in oil prices and real estate investments. In response, Gerard Cassidy of the Royal Bank of Canada developed the Texas ratio metric to assess a bank’s … Continue reading &#859

Economy economydataindicatorsfederal-reserve
Econbrowser Aug 13 Score 0.7189874592592592

Inflation Adjusted Wages, through July

From Milwaukee Courier, Natalie Yahr for Wisconsin Watch: “Concern about prices rising is not just prices rising, but it’s against the backdrop of how fast wages are rising. How many people are keeping up, and what components of the population are keeping up?”

Economy economymacroeconomicsenergyresearch
Econbrowser Aug 13 Score 0.7173823666666667

Estimated FY2026 Budget Deficit

From CBO. Source: CBO. Notes: Solid light purple is FY2024, solid dark purple is FY2025, dashed black is FY2026 estimate for cumulative deficit. As of 2026Q2, we're nearly a percentage point above full employment, according to CBO's estimate of potential GDP.

Economy economymacroeconomicsenergyresearch
Econbrowser Aug 13 Score 0.7167277370370371

Cost of Living Measures

Including Everyday Price Index™. Nowcast suggests accelerating inflation in m/m August CPI: Figure 1: CPI (blue), CPI-wage earners and clerical workers (purple), chained CPI (green), AIER Everyday Price index (light red), all in logs 2025M01=0. 2025M08

Economy economymacroeconomicsenergyresearch
Marginal Revolution Aug 14 Score 0.7116507523148147

The Economics of a Shrinking World

From Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Patrick Norrick: As of 2026, humanity is likely below replacement fertility. That has never happened before, not in wars or pandemics. But the real surprise is that the fall has been concentrated in low- and middle-income co

Economy economyeconomicscommentaryblog
Marginal Revolution Aug 14 Score 0.7096618634259259

Intergenerational mobility of immigrants in 15 destination countries

We estimate intergenerational mobility of children of immigrants in fifteen receiving countries. Children of immigrants have somewhat lower income than children of local-born parents. Around half of this gap can be explained by differences in parental income,

Economy economyeconomicscommentaryblog